2018 LEN EUROPEAN AQUATICS CHAMPIONSHIPS
- August 3-9, 2018 (swimming portion)
- Glasgow, Scotland
- Tollcross International Swimming Centre
- Psych Sheet
Similar to how Adam Peaty is essentially a lock to win the men’s 50 and 100 breaststroke, Sweden’s Sarah Sjostrom enters the women’s sprint fly events with no one within striking distance.
In the 50, she holds the world record at 24.43, with no one else in history sub-25. In fact, the next fastest swimmer in the field (Ranomi Kromowidjojo) is nearly a full second slower than her with a PB of 25.38. With two-straight World titles and three-straight European titles, she continues to write history with every swim. Already 25.07 this year, look for a 13th swim under 25 seconds (if not more from prelims and semis).
In the 100, after being upset by Jeanette Ottesen at the 2014 European Championships in Berlin, Sjostrom has been dominant. She broke the world record in Kazan, did it again in Rio, and was just shy in winning her fourth World title last summer in Budapest. No one in the field has been within 1.5 seconds of her 55.48 best time.
In the 50, Kromwidjojo is the leading candidate for silver after finishing in that position at last summer’s World Championships, while France’s Melanie Henique, Belgium’s Kimberly Buys and Germany’s Aliena Schmidtke are also in the mix after making the final in Budapest as well. Emilie Beckmann and Maaike De Waard were also sub-26 last summer, and France’s Marie Wattel is on the rise having been 26.03 earlier this year.
In the 100, Russian Svetlana Chimrova was the only European who joined Sjostrom in the World Championship final last year, placing 7th in 57.24. She’s looked good this year, swimming a 57.23 at the Mare Nostrum stop in Barcelona. Italians Elena Di Liddo, Ilaria Bianchi, and Great Britain’s Charlotte Atkinson are the other three who have been 57 this year, while Wattel, Schmidtke, Buys and Hungarian Liliana Szilagyi all were in 2017. Others to watch for are 200 fly Commonwealth champion Alys Thomas (GBR) and 2018 NCAA champion Louise Hansson (SWE). This will be Szilagyi’s first big taper meet since leaving her training at the University of Florida, so it will be an important test meet for her new routine.
The 200 fly field is a bit more wide open. European swimmers swept the podium in Budapest, but gold medalist Mireia Belmonte (health concerns) and bronze medalist Katinka Hosszu (pared-down schedule) both won’t be in the lineup. That leaves silver medalist Franziska Hentke of Germany leading the pack. She’s hit a 2:05 once per year starting in 2015, and will likely need another to win here. Her biggest challenge will come from Thomas, who had a two-second drop to win the Commonwealth gold in April in 2:05.45.
Chimrova, Szilagyi, Boglarka Kapas and 2017 World Junior champ Emily Large of Great Britain are the leading candidates for bronze provided Hentke and Thomas perform. As will be the case for many countries in different events, the prelims will be a domestic battle to advance. Only two per nation can get out of the heats, so Szilagyi and Kapas will have to contend with Zsuzsanna Jakabos, and Italians Bianchi, Ilaria Cusinato and Alessia Polieri will be in a similar situation.
50 FLY PREDICTIONS
Place Prediction | Name | Nationality | Lifetime Best | 2018 Best |
1 | Sarah Sjostrom | Sweden | 24.43 | 25.07 |
2 | Ranomi Kromowidjojo | Netherlands | 25.38 | 25.65 |
3 | Melanie Henique | France | 25.63 | 25.63 |
4 | Kimberly Buys | Belgium | 25.70 | 26.04 |
5 | Marie Wattel | France | 26.03 | 26.03 |
6 | Emilie Beckmann | Denmark | 25.77 | 26.20 |
7 | Aliena Schmidtke | Germany | 25.68 | 26.38 |
8 | Elena Di Liddo | Italy | 26.13 | 26.13 |
100 FLY PREDICTIONS
Place Prediction | Name | Nationality | Lifetime Best | 2018 Best |
1 | Sarah Sjostrom | Sweden | 55.48 | 56.29 |
2 | Svetlana Chimrova | Russia | 57.17 | 57.23 |
3 | Elena Di Liddo | Italy | 57.38 | 57.38 |
4 | Ilaria Bianchi | Italy | 57.27 | 57.70 |
5 | Marie Wattel | France | 57.53 | 58.13 |
6 | Louise Hansson | Sweden | 58.08 | 58.08 |
7 | Liliana Szilagyi | Hungary | 57.54 | 58.50 |
8 | Charlotte Atkinson | Great Britain | 57.88 | 57.88 |
200 FLY PREDICTIONS
Place Prediction | Name | Nationality | Lifetime Best | 2018 Best |
1 | Franziska Hentke | Germany | 2:05.26 | 2:07.21 |
2 | Alys Thomas | Great Britain | 2:05.45 | 2:05.45 |
3 | Liliana Szilagyi | Hungary | 2:06.59 | 2:08.01 |
4 | Svetlana Chimrova | Russia | 2:07.50 | 2:07.50 |
5 | Boglarka Kapas | Hungary | 2:07.54 | 2:07.54 |
6 | Ilaria Cusinato | Italy | 2:08.78 | 2:08.78 |
7 | Alessia Polieri | Italy | 2:07.49 | 2:08.15 |
8 | Ana Catarina Monteiro | Portugal | 2:08.06 | 2:08.06 |
I think Louise Hansson will surprise for a medal in this.
I am interested in how she will swim. Last year, she raced all the time and was fast all the time. This year she raced a lot less. Also I think she has trained more at Energy standard and less with home club coach, Johan. Therefore with all this, I am curious how this turns out.
In an interview earlier this week Sjöström said that she has been in heavy training but now she ’feels unstoppable’. She rarely expresses that kind of confidence. And she did admit thar her WR’s are pretty good but that sometime to be the first to break 55 in the 100 fly would be awesome. And she does want that gold 10 years after her first.
I dont think that Hentke will win the 200 fly (sadly), but i hope she will win a medal. Given her season so far, anything below 2:06.50 would be great for her. In the end she already has an european title, her sight clearly has to be on the 2020 olympics, if she wins a medal there her career would find an amazing end. 100 fly is gonna be a 3-way race for silver and bronze in my opinion between the two italians and Chimrova, Atkinson and Szilagyi are dark horse. I would be very happy to see Szilagy finally fulfill the promis she gave at the 2014 youth olympic games. From a german perspective i hope that Schmidtke will… Read more »
50 – Sjöström/Kromowidjojo/Beckmann
100 – Sjöström/Wattel/Chimrova
200 – Kapas/Thomas/Hentke
Sjötröm will win 4 golds. The question is only about the WR’s.
That 200 would be a great shock, but I’m in.
Kapas beat Thomas handily in Rome, and I am not sold on Hentke. Szilagyi I dont expect another 2.06.
I think Blume could win one or both of the freestyle events. Sarah has had a so-so season and has her eyes set on the upcoming seasons already. I get the same feeling with Ranomi.
I think not.
Sjostrom has pretty busy Day 1. A triple, if i’m correct. 50 free, 100 fly, 100free (relay).
I would be surprised to see any world records this day.
Here you’re.
http://www2.len.eu/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/SWM_EntryList.pdf
http://glasgow2018.microplustiming.com/indexglasgow2018_web.php?s=TG9hZENhbGVuZGFyaW8oJzAnKTs=&cat=ASF&page=042&spec=001&bat=001&td=STL1&hg=&descIT=V29tZW7CoC3CoDR4MTAwIG0gU3RpbGUgTGliZXJvIC0gUHJlbGltaW5hcnk=&descEN=V29tZW7CoC3CoDQgeCAxMDAgbSBGcmVlc3R5bGUgLSBQcmVsaW1pbmFyeQ==&descFR=V29tZW7CoC3CoDR4MTAwIG0gTmFnZSBMaWJyZSAtIFByZWxpbWluYXJ5&curCatSel_M_F=11:11&sport=Swimming
Not so, http://www2.len.eu/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/SWM_EntryList.pdf
“Not so” what? That she isn’t scheduled to swim three events, or she won’t make three finals or she won’t make world record in one of them?
Not so busy.
I hope Alys Thomas can win the 200. Her 200 at CGs is still the biggest shock swim of the year for me considering her age.
She’ll win if she can go 2.05.4 again. No doubt. Not sure she can though.