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2022 World Champs Previews: McKeown Eyes Title Unification In Women’s 200 Back

2022 FINA WORLD AQUATICS CHAMPIONSHIPS

  • June 18-25, 2022 (pool swimming)
  • Budapest, Hungary
  • Duna Arena
  • LCM (50-meter format)
  • Meet Central

By The Numbers:

The 2019 World Championships saw a breakout swim from American Regan Smith in the 200 backstroke, as she destroyed the world record in a time of 2:03.35, becoming the first swimmer sub-2:04 in history.

Going into 2020, Smith looked primed for Olympic gold, but Australian Kaylee McKeown had other plans. With the one-year delay of the Games to 2021, McKeown had a breakout of her own, scaring Smith’s world record on several occasions and throwing down the thrdo-fastest time in history (2:04.28) at the Australian Olympic Trials. In Tokyo, McKeown dominated both backstroke events, collecting double Olympic gold in the process.

With her breakout season last year, McKeown appears primed to repeat her feat at the 2022 World Championships, chasing the world records in both events. This season, McKeown has already been as fast as 2:04.64 in the 200 backstroke, leading the world rankings by about a half-second. However, there are several strong competitors eyeing her down and looking for their own chance to claim the World Championship title.

At the 2022 U.S. International Team Trials, the aforementioned Smith failed to qualify for the World Championships in this event after a repeat of last summer’s Olympic Trials that saw Rhyan White and Phoebe Bacon have their own breakthrough performances. The duo finished fourth and fifth in Tokyo, respectively, and look to be swimming even better this season.

At the U.S. Trials in April, Bacon threw down a sizzling time of 2:05.08 to shatter her own personal best and the U.S. Open Record, moving up to second in the world rankings behind McKeown. White, meanwhile, touched just behind Bacon in a time of 2:05.13, also dipping under the U.S. Open Record previously held by Missy Franklin (2:05.68). With those times, both Bacon and White would have made the podium at the Olympic Games last year, setting themselves up to potentially challenge McKeown for gold.

With reigning Olympic bronze medalist Emily Seebohm electing not to compete at the Australian Trials, 18-year-old Mollie O’Callaghan managed to grab the second Worlds qualification spot in this event behind McKeown. O’Callaghan is coming off of a fantastic performance at that meet that saw her qualify for Worlds in all 3 backstroke races plus the 100 free and 200 free individually, the women’s 4×100 free relay, 4×200 free relay, and 4×100 medley relay, adding in potential mixed relays as well. With her busy schedule, O’Callaghan recently announced she will not be racing any backstroke events at Worlds, leaving the second Australian spot in this event vacant.

The other member of the podium from Tokyo, Canadian Kylie Masse, should also be a strong competitor here. This season, Masse has already been as fast as 2:07.66 at the Canadian Olympic Trials, putting herself sixth in the world. With two of the swimmers ranked ahead of her (Smith and Claire Curzan) not contesting the event at Worlds, Masse is a heavy favorite to appear on the podium again, especially if she has momentum from a strong performance in the 50 and 100 backstroke.

She’ll be joined by countrymate Taylor Ruck, who placed second in the event at the Canadian Trials. At that meet, Ruck, who just came off of a strong NCAA season at Stanford, swam to a time of 2:09.63 to rank 16th in the world this season. However, there are six people currently ranked ahead of her that will not be competing in this event at Worlds, giving her a solid chance of making the final. In addition, her lifetime best stands at a 2:06.36, which would put her in podium contention if she can match it.

Margherita Panziera. Photo: Giorgio Perottino/Deepbluemedia/Insidefoto

Italian superstar Margherita Panziera is also a threat as she is the sixth-fastest performer in history in this event with her time of 2:05.56 from last year. Panziera was well off her best at the Tokyo Olympics, placing ninth in the semis in 2:09.54. However, she has already been as fast as 2:08.63 this season, a sign she’s timing her taper better than last year.

Both China and Hungary will also be sending strong duos to compete at Worlds in the 200 backstroke. China will send Olympic finalists Peng Xuwei and Liu Yaxin to race the event as the pair finished seventh and eighth, respectively, at the 2021 Olympic Games. Peng and Liu rank ninth and 10th in the world this season, posting times of 2:08.54 and 2:09.33 at the Chinese National Games last September. Neither athlete has posted results since the 2021 Short Course World Championships last December, making it difficult to predict where they’ll be later this month. However, both Peng and Liu have the international experience to throw down strong swims at Worlds.

Hungary’s duo of Katalin Burián and Dóra Molnár should also push the field. Burian is coming off of a strong summer where she narrowly missed making the final at the Olympics, finishing 10th.

SWIMSWAM’S PICKS

Place Swimmer Country Season Best Lifetime Best
1 Kaylee McKeown AUS 2:04.64 2:04.28
2 Phoebe Bacon USA 2:05.08 2:05.08
3 Kylie Masse CAN 2:07.66 2:05.42
4 Rhyan White USA 2:05.13 2:05.13
5 Margherita Panziera ITA 2:08.63 2:05.56
6 Taylor Ruck CAN 2:09.63 2:06.36
7 Peng Xuwei CHN 2:08.54 2:08.26
8 Katalin Burian HUN 2:09.33 2:07.43

Darkhorse Pick: Anastasia Gorbenko (ISR) – Israel’s Gorbenko is currently one of the most versatile athletes in the world and she has a large slate of potential races to swim at Worlds. Although Gorbenko was not sure if she would be competing in the 200 backstroke at the meet, she will be in the mix for the final if she elects to do so. Currently, Gorbenko’s season best of 2:10.84 ranks her 26th in the world this season. However, there are 14 people ranked ahead of her who will not be contesting the event at Worlds, leaving a lot of room for her to sneak into the final.

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AnEn
2 years ago

My prediction:
McKeown
Bacon
White
Masse
Ruck
Panziera
Molnar
Peng

Burian
Liu
Lee

LDM
2 years ago

To add Gorbenko to the list as a darkhorse is really stretching it. Even if she elects to swim (adjacent session to her better event 200 breast and the 4*200 relay) she doesn’t (I believe) have a lot of slack here. It will be hard to see her making the finals. BTW – she doesn’t even own the Israeli national record (while owning plenty of others) as this record is held by Aviv Barzelay who will be competing in Budapest.

Last edited 2 years ago by LDM
chris
2 years ago

dangerous to count out Regan. Well, not dangerous but you know what I mean (I think)

Fobby Binke
Reply to  chris
2 years ago

Regan is not swimming 200 back. She didn’t qualify.

Did you read the article?

M d e
Reply to  chris
2 years ago

Yeah. Feels pretty safe, given she isn’t even in the event.

Last edited 2 years ago by M d e
KRB
2 years ago

Tough race to call. Going with your pics as well, although I wouldn’t be surprised if all 3 picks swap places on the podium.

ICU
2 years ago

Kaylee’s got this,

Last edited 2 years ago by ICU
Jackson
Reply to  ICU
2 years ago

Kaylee is the Queen!!

jonathankkh
2 years ago

I don’t see anyone beating McKeown in this event unless they can come home in 31 low or faster.

Gambler
2 years ago

Does anyone know where online bets can be placed for this meet?

Sherry Smit
2 years ago

1. Bacon
2. Masse
3. McKeown

Jamesabc
Reply to  Sherry Smit
2 years ago

Lol I don’t know why you’ve been downvoted so hard. I don’t agree with your prediction but it’s not like it’s outside the realm of possibility. I see this as the likely podium but would swap McKeown and Bacon.

Fraser Thorpe
Reply to  Jamesabc
2 years ago

Actually that ratio is probably about right if you’re talking odds; slightly better than 5/1…

ICU
Reply to  Sherry Smit
2 years ago

lol

About Braden Keith

Braden Keith

Braden Keith is the Editor-in-Chief and a co-founder/co-owner of SwimSwam.com. He first got his feet wet by building The Swimmers' Circle beginning in January 2010, and now comes to SwimSwam to use that experience and help build a new leader in the sport of swimming. Aside from his life on the InterWet, …

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