Each summer, college swimming fans look forward to recruiting – the lifeblood of any NCAA swim program. Since 2012, we’ve been ranking down the top NCAA prospects in the nation from each recruiting class. But sports are inherently unpredictable, and even the most sure-fire prospect can go awry or completely change their role over four years.
As we did last year with the first class we ever ranked, we’ll look back at the high school class of 2014, which just finished four years of college eligibility this spring.
First, a few notes:
- Most of the data we’re tracking here deals with NCAA scoring. Obviously, some swimmers are great assets for their teams in dual meets and conference competition without ever being national factors. While we don’t discount the impact of those types of swimmers, the difference in competition between various teams’ dual meet schedules and conference meets makes NCAA scoring the best “apples to apples” comparisons between swimmers.
- Relays are another point of contention, as a swimmer in a strong program has more opportunity for NCAA relays, though they also have more competition for those relay spots. We’ve mostly left relay results out of the data below, except where specifically indicated. That, too, gives us a more fair comparison between athletes.
- We did our best to scour NCAA results over the past four years, but it’s certainly possible we made a mistake in compiling our data. If you spot an error, please respectfully let us know in the comment section so we can update our work!
Since our annual recruit rankings only take into account domestic recruits, the following analysis won’t include international swimmers. We’ve found that determining when international students will come to the U.S. or officially start their NCAA eligibility is too unpredictable. Fitting swimmers into specific recruiting classes is often a patchwork effort, so we’ve only included domestic swimmers in this data.
REVISITING OUR TOP 10
Check out this post for our analysis of the top 10 recruits in the high school class of 2014. Bear in mind that this was posted in July of 2013, when these swimmers were high school juniors. Complaining about slighted swimmers is barely a scrap above useless at the time of posting, and putting on Captain Hindsight goggles and complaining now without looking up best times from July 2013 is even less enlightening than that.
Here’s a look at our top 10 recruits, plus how many individual points they scored at NCAAs in each of their four years:
Rank | Name | College Team | Total NCAA Points | 2015 NCAA Points | 2016 NCAA Points | 2017 NCAA Points | 2018 NCAA Points |
1 | Simone Manuel | Stanford | 169 | 57 | 56 | 56 | |
2 | Janet Hu | Stanford | 112 | 6 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Kylie Stewart | Georgia | 63 | 16 | 24 | 5 | 18 |
4 | G Ryan | Michigan | 65 | 7 | 18 | 16 | 24 |
5 | Lindsey Engel | Stanford | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | |
6 | Jasmine Mau | Cal | 10 | 10 | |||
7 | Meaghan Raab | Georgia | 27 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
8 | Ally Howe | Stanford | 88 | 12 | 18 | 22 | 36 |
9 | Danielle Nack | Minnesota | 0 | ||||
10 | Bethany Galat | Texas A&M | 137 | 16 | 37 | 38 | 46 |
HM | Courtney Weaver | Georgia | 0 | ||||
HM | Cierra Runge | Cal/Wisconsin | 49 | 49 | |||
HM | Brooke Zeiger | Minnesota | 39 | 13 | 26 | ||
HM | Megan Kingsley | Georgia | 39 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 17 |
HM | Carolyn McCann | Michigan | 0 | ||||
HM | Hannah Moore | Michigan/NC State | 89 | 29 | 28 | 32 | |
HM | Clara Smiddy | Michigan | 56 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 14 |
HM | Brooke Lorentzen | Minnesota | 0 | ||||
HM | Mary Schneider | Texas | 0 | ||||
HM | Gabby Sims | Harvard | 0 |
A few big takeaways:
- Every time we rank recruits, we get the same flood of comments about the meaninglessness of rankings, about how fast high schoolers sometimes peak too early, about how the best teams are really the ones who take no-name recruits and help them drop lots of time. But the results year after year make pretty clear that loading up on elite talent is the best way to score points at NCAAs. The majority of our top 20 recruits scored at NCAAs and scored big over their four years, and 7 of 9 NCAA champs in this class were ranked inside our top 20 as high schoolers. (The other two were a relay champ and an international).
- This was the first year of Stanford domination in recruiting, and all four of their big recruits panned out. Simone Manuel racked up 6 individual NCAA titles. Janet Hu was 3rd in her class with 112 individual points and won a whopping 10 NCAA relay titles. Ally Howe was the only swimmer in this class outside of Manuel to win an NCAA title individually, and Lindsey Engel averaged 8 points a year at NCAAs.
- Bethany Galat overperformed her 10th rank, scoring the 2nd-most points of any swimmer in her class. But before you bust out the pitchforks to protest our five-year-old snub, check out Galat’s lifetime-bests as of the day our rankings published: 1:00.29 in 100 breast, 2:14.05 in 200 breast, 1:59.06 in 200 IM, 4:15.17 in 400 IM.
- Some swimmers on this list were productive without scoring individual points. Danielle Nack was an NCAA qualifier in all four years and a key relay contributor for Minnesota. Carolyn McCann was a captain and one-time NCAA qualifier for Michigan. Mary ‘Mimi’ Schneider was a relay All-American for Texas.
- A number, though, did not finish out four years of collegiate swimming – or haven’t yet. Courtney Weaver retired after two years, battling with anxiety. Cierra Runge swam one year at Cal, sat out one season, then swam one season with Wisconsin, then left that program for Arizona State, where she could start competing in January of 2019. Brooke Lorentzen dropped off the Minnesota roster after her sophomore season.
NCAA TITLES (RELAY & INDIVIDUAL) AMONG TOP CLASS OF 2014 RECRUITS:
Swimmer | Individual | Relay |
Simone Manuel | 6 | 8 |
Ally Howe | 1 | 7 |
Janet Hu | 10 | |
Noemie Thomas | 2 | |
Cierra Runge | 1 | |
Lindsey Engel | 1 | |
Meaghan Raab | 1 | |
Kylie Stewart | 1 | |
Valerie Hull | 1 |
OTHER IMPACTFUL SWIMMERS IN THE HIGH SCHOOL RECRUITING CLASS OF 2014
Of course, not every contributor comes from our top 10 list. Some swimmers develop extremely well in college. Some swimmers slip under our radar, or don’t really show their ability until their senior year of high school, after our rankings come out.
We dug through NCAA results to find the best American and international swimmers from this class to not appear on our top 10 list. Again, it’s not always easy to account for redshirt years, gap years or mistakes in an athlete’s listed class each season. So if we forgot anyone, respectfully let us know in the comments!
INDIVIDUAL NCAA A FINAL (OR TOP 8) APPEARANCES, HIGH SCHOOL CLASS OF 2014
American
Name | Team | Total NCAA Points | 2015 NCAA Points | 2016 NCAA Points | 2017 NCAA Points | 2018 NCAA Points |
Lisa Bratton | Texas A&M | 80.5 | 14 | 40.5 | 4 | 22 |
Sharli Brady | Missouri | 51 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 22 |
Jen Marrkand | Virginia | 49 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 28 |
Hannah Stevens | Missouri | 39 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 11 |
Caroline Baldwin | UNC | 35 | 17 | 18 | ||
Kaersten Meitz | Purdue | 28 | 3 | 4 | 21 | |
Gabby DeLoof | Michigan | 28 | 13 | 15 | ||
Rebecca Millard | Texas | 27 | 9 | 13 | 5 | |
Natalie Pierce | FSU | 15 | 15 | |||
Bridgette Alexander | Kentucky | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | |
Ally Rockett | Indiana | 13 | 13 | |||
Caitlin Cooper | Virginia | 12.5 | 12.5 | |||
Jorie Caneta | ASU/Texas A&M | 12 | 7 | 5 | ||
Hannah Weiss | USC | 11 | 11 | |||
Emily Kopas | Michigan | 9 | 9 | |||
Laine Reed | Virginia | 6.5 | 6.5 | |||
Mia Nonnenberg | Alabama | 5 | 5 | |||
Bailey Scott | Alabama | 3.5 | 3.5 | |||
Kira Zubar | Missouri | 3 | 3 | |||
Leah Goldman | Duke | 2 | 2 | |||
Katie Grover | UCLA | 2 | 2 | |||
Breanna Roman | Auburn | 2 | 2 | |||
Micah Bohon | Tennessee | 2 | 2 | |||
Stephanie Peters | Georgia | 1 | 1 | |||
Kristen Malone | Texas A&M | 1 | 1 |
International
Name | Team | Total NCAA Points | 2015 NCAA Points | 2016 NCAA Points | 2017 NCAA Points | 2018 NCAA Points |
Beryl Gastaldello | Texas A&M | 98.5 | 20 | 33 | 17.5 | 28 |
Noemie Thomas | Cal | 79 | 12 | 24 | 21 | 22 |
Kennedy Goss | Indiana | 78 | 17 | 32 | 28 | 1 |
Liz Li | Ohio State | 75 | 1 | 16 | 28 | 30 |
Esther Gonzalez | Texas A&M | 23 | 12 | 11 | ||
Haley Black | WKU/Auburn | 18 | 9 | 9 | ||
Klaudia Nazieblo | Virginia Tech | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | |
Meg Bailey | Ohio State | 12 | 12 | |||
Franziska Weidner | Hawaii | 12 | 12 | |||
Tjasa Oder | Arizona | 6 | 6 | |||
Tayla Lovemore | FSU | 6 | 5 | 1 | ||
Katie Armitage | Tennessee | 6 | 6 | |||
Paloma Marrero | Akron | 6 | 6 | |||
Lina Rathsack | Pitt | 4 | 4 |
- Lisa Bratton was really the only immediate-major-impact recruit left out of our top 20. The rest improved steadily over their collegiate years to rack up the points. Bratton dropped from 1:58.0 to 1:52.1 in her 200 back, 4:18 to 4:08 in her 400 IM and 2:01 to 1:56 in her 200 IM over the course of her freshman year to score in all three.
- Missouri had two unheralded recruits score big at NCAAs all four years: Sharli Brady and Hannah Stevens.
- International recruits made up a big part of this class, with Beryl Gastaldello (3rd in overall points for the class) leading the way.
The girls’ actual performance in relation to her ranking is more of a reflection of their coaching than of your predictions.
If we had re-ranked right before the NCAA season started, Bratton might have been top 20. She swam at Pan Pacs the summer before her freshman year and took a bronze in the 200 back.
Lisa Bratton actually won bronze at 2014 Nationals in Irvine to get on the Pan Pac team. Also, her times out of HS were 1:53.64 in the 200 back, 1:58.57 in the 200 IM, and 4:13.37 in the 400 IM.
TCCC Coach – the times we listed are from July 2013, when we ranked this recruiting class.
Great objective look- glad to see mention of NCAA contributions by folks not ranked coming out of high school
Janet Hu scored 41 points this year. IDK about other years.
Yep, you’re right. Missed her 100 fly points at the first tally. Updated now!
Jorie Caneta scored both years while at Texas A&M. 2018 she place 4th in the B final for 5 points
Jared, great article. We had the pleasure of working with several of these girls with recruiting, Jen Marrkand, Lisa Bratton, Kennedy Goss, Natalie Pierce and Katie Grover.
This is awesome, thank you, Jared (swimswam)!