First, a few bonus pictures from this morning’s prelims session, thanks to Tim Binning.
USC sophomore Cristian Quintero prepares to take the top seed in the men’s 200 free. (photo: Tim Binning, TheSwimPictures.com)
Freshman Chase Kalisz was part of a youth movement in the 400 IM. His top seed made him one of four freshmen in the A-Final. (Photo: Tim Binning/TheSwimPictures.com)
Tom Shields, leading off the 100 back, which will be the second swim he has in the finals session. (Photo: Tim Binning/TheSwimPictures.com)
Now, some numbers. University of Arizona economics professor Price V. Fishback is back with some more analysis for tonight’s finals session.
Here’s a little key to explain what you’re looking at:
Gain/Loss Final vs Psych Thursday – How much each team improved on Thursday (day one) of this meet as compared to psych sheets
Gain/Loss Friday Prelim v. Psych – How much each team improved or lost on Friday morning (day two) if things came out exactly how they were in prelims.
Psych Scores Saturday – How many points each team is expected to score, according to the psych sheet, on Saturday.
Final Score Actual Thursday, Prelim Friday, Psych Saturday – combining the best available numbers from each day into one figure, this is the current best “on paper” prediction of where the meet will come out.
Gain/Loss Thu, Fri – This is how many total points each team has improved through the first two days, if Friday’s finals turn out exactly like prelims were.
*Note – as there is no “seeding” for diving, these numbers do not include Friday or Saturday diving. They do include Thursday diving that is final, however.
| TEAM | Gain/ Loss Final vs. Psych Thursday | Gain/ Loss Friday Prelim v. Psych | Predicted Final Score Friday Night | Psych Scores Saturday | Final Score Actual Thursday, Prelim Friday, Psych Saturday | Psych Sheet Final Score | Gain/ Loss Thu, Fri |
| mi | -13 | -33 | 338 | 126 | 464 | 510 | -46 |
| cal | 51.5 | 13 | 280.5 | 74 | 354.5 | 290 | 64.5 |
| fl | 20 | -23 | 181 | 112 | 293 | 296 | -3 |
| socal | 2 | 27 | 215 | 73 | 288 | 259 | 29 |
| az | 28 | 36 | 222 | 65 | 287 | 223 | 64 |
| au | 0.5 | 0 | 182.5 | 87 | 269.5 | 269 | 0.5 |
| tx | 72 | 36 | 203 | 56 | 259 | 151 | 108 |
| st | 34 | 39 | 179 | 79 | 258 | 185 | 73 |
| in | 13 | -16 | 152 | 48 | 200 | 203 | -3 |
| ga | -27 | 18 | 92 | 28 | 120 | 129 | -9 |
| osu | -10 | -5 | 71 | 15 | 86 | 101 | -15 |
| ncs | -28 | 10 | 42 | 35 | 77 | 95 | -18 |
| lou | 18 | -8 | 36 | 33 | 69 | 59 | 10 |
| wi | 2 | 10 | 51 | 17 | 68 | 56 | 12 |
| tn | -7 | -47 | 36 | 23 | 59 | 113 | -54 |
| psu | 22 | -19 | 45 | 13 | 58 | 55 | 3 |
| fsu | -60 | -19 | 34 | 22 | 56 | 135 | -79 |
| mo | 16 | 6 | 40 | 15 | 55 | 33 | 22 |
| mn | 10 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 49 | 35 | 14 |
| va | 0 | 0 | 22 | 13 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| vt | -19 | 5 | 34 | 1 | 35 | 49 | -14 |
| ha | -10 | -9 | 0 | 29 | 29 | 48 | -19 |
| tam | -13 | 0 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 40 | -13 |
| asu | 23 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 26 | 3 | 23 |
| pu | -1 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 20 | 21 | -1 |
| duke | 17 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
| io | 8 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 16 |
| lsu | 2 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 10 | 6 |
| ky | 15 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
| nc | -2 | -6 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 23 | -8 |
| unlv | 10 | -1 | 15 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 |
| br | 0 | -16 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 28 | -16 |
| dart | -3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 15 | -3 |
| emich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| pr | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| smu | -10 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 19 | -10 |
| ut | 6 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| socar | -12 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 19 | -12 |
| msu | 0 | -5 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 |
| wy | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
| al | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| nd | 0 | -11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | -11 |
you guys are great. keep up the EXCELLENT work. & go bears!