Women’s 50 free
This women’s 50 free has a ton of concentrated power. The vast majority of the top 30 swimmers in the world in 2011 came from just a small handful of countires, and the exceptions were from very non-traditional swimming powers. Still, this one was a total runaway for the Dutch women with 5 swimmers standing in the world’s 21-fastest last year. And of course historically, they claim Inge de Bruijn, who took gold at the 2000 and 2004 Olympics in the event, and is still the fastest woman ever in textile.
The American sprint group didn’t have a great year in 2011, but if you include 2010, they’re an obvious choice for second. Australia is giving them a good push though, especially if former World Record holder Libby Trickett comes anywhere close to her old form upon her full-blown return. There are quite a few “minor” countries on this list, including Sweden and Belarus.
Germany has the World Record holder, Britta Steffen, in their lineup, but has done a decent job of building off of her success with some improving depth. Canada is rising, with the young Chantal Van Landeghem leading the way on combination with National Record holder Victoria Poon, They don’t have a ton of history in the event (they’ve never put a swimmer higher than 10th in the event at the Olympics).
Rank | Country | Top 3 swimmers (2011 time) |
1 | The Netherlands | Ranomi Kromowidjojo (24.27) Marleen Veldhuis (24.49) – FWR Inge Dekker (24.69) |
2 | USA | Jessica Hardy (24.80) Lara Jackson (24.98) Madison Kennedy (25.09) Dana Vollmer (25.09) |
3 | Australia (rising) | Cate Campbell (24.87) Olivia Halicek (24.88) Yolane Kukla (24.92) |
4 | Germany | Britta Steffen (24.67) – WR Dorothea Brandt (24.78) Daniela Schreiber (25.56) |
5 | Sweden | Therese Alshammar (24.14) Sarah Sjostrom (25.01) Claire Hedenskog (25.71) |
6 | Belarus | Aleksandra Herasimenia (24.57) Svitlana Khaklova (25.22) Yuliya Khitraya (25.74) |
7 | Canada (rising) | Chantal Van Landeghem (25.05) Victoria Poon (25.24) Marie-Pier Ratelle (25.55) |
8 | Japan | Yayoi Matsumoto (25.18) An Yumoto (25.43) Miyu Amemiya (25.49) |
9 | Ukraine (rising) | Darya Stepanyuk (25.12) Oxana Serikova (25.45) Nadiya Koba (25.60) |
10 | Great Britain | Fran Halsall (24.60) Amy Smith (25.45) Emma Wilkins (25.83) Georgina Heyn (25.83) |
Women’s 100 Free
This one was a much tighter selection than the 50. Yes, the Dutch have been winning the major relays (the last Olympic gold, the last two World Championships) involving the 100 free, but unlike the 50 free, the power at the top isn’t quite strong enough to overcome the American depth. Femke Heemskerk, despite failing to medal in Shanghai, is probably the best in the world in this event right now. However, the USA (especially on the back of Missy Franklin’s emergence) has a ton of moving parts to account for swimmers having a bad meet. The USA has 17 swimmers who have gone 55.2 or better in this 100 free in 2011.
The next-closest country to that total is Australia with 12 (though they lack the firepower at the top, with only Alicia Coutts ranking in the world’s top-15), and the Dutch have only 5. Don’t forget that the Australians have three-time World Record breaker in this event Libby Lenton in the fold as well. The Chinese women haven’t been great this year, but they’ve got too much history and depth to drop below 4th in the rankings.
Denmark is taking huge strides in this 100 free, and scored 8th in the relay at World’s, but aren’t quite to the point where they can crack the top-10 yet. Aside from the co-World Champion from Shanghai in the event (Jeanette Ottesen), they are developing a strong young corps of sprinters including Pernille Blume (17) and Mie Nielsen (just turned 15 yesterday), but when the gold medalist in the 1500 (Lotte Friis) is forced onto your sprint free relay, you know there’s still room to grow.
Rank | Country | Top 4 Swimmers (2011 times) |
1 | USA | Missy Franklin (53.63) Natalie Coughlin (54.05) Dana Vollmer (54.05) Amanda Weir (54.14) |
2 | The Netherlands | Femke Heemskerk (53.60) Ranomi Kromowidjojo (53.66) Marleen Veldhuis (54.41) Inge Dekker (54.70) |
3 | Australia | Alicia Coutts (53.78) Marieke Guehere (54.29) Yolane Kukla (54.37) Bronte Barratt (54.67) |
4 | China | Yi Tang (54.08) Zhesi Li (54.35) Shija Wang (54.61) Jiayang Pang (54.96) |
5 | Germany | Britta Steffen (54.14) – WR, TB Daniela Schreiber (54.74) Silke Lippok (55.09) Dorothea Brandt (55.31) |
6 | Sweden | Sarah Sjostrom (54.41) Ida Marko-Varga (54.63) Gabriella Fagundez (54.66) Petra Granlund (55.99) |
7 | Great Britain (rising) | Fran Halsall (53.48) Amy Smith (54.93) Rebecca Turner (55.52) Jessica Lloyd (55.63) |
8 | Canada | Victoria Poon (54.64) Julia Wilkinson (54.93 Chantal van Landeghem (55.07) Genevieve Saumur (55.26) |
9 | Japan | Haruka Ueda (54.52) Yayoi Matsumoto (54.81) Hanae Ito (55.29) Mao Kawakami (55.36) |
10 | France | Camille Muffat (53.97) Charlotte Bonnet (55.18) Mylene Lazare (55.65) Margaux Farrell (55.69) |
Overall Sprint Rankings
This was a tough tossup between the Dutch and the Americans. I’ll give the tiebreaker to the Netherlands based on Inge de Bruijn being probably the greatest sprinter we’ve ever seen. After that the choices become pretty easy. China was the interesting case, given that their freestylers tend towards the 100/200 combination than the 50/100 combination.
Rank | Country |
1 | The Netherlands |
2 | USA |
3 | Australia |
4 | Germany |
5 | Sweden |
6 | Sweden |
7 | China |
8 | Canada |
9 | Japan |
10 | Great Britain |
I will probably choose Australia for gold in London, but its a tight spot.Veldhuis don t deliver to well, but she is still improving after her baby.Missy is awesome, but i hope US Team dont put too much pressure over her shoulders.
A healthy Cate Campbell is a monster sprinter.IF she can bring her old form back, with a Lenton reborn and Kukla and Coutts still improving, i will put my money in Aussie team.
If Gemma Spofforth would ever swim a tapered 50 or 100 free, I’m pretty sure she’d help Britain’s chances too. She had some pretty monster splits on relays at NCAAs.
I’d also say France will be top 6 with the addition of Manadou to their lineup.
Good analyses!
Australia may turn out to be a dark horse for London’s 4×100 free if Lenton and Campbell can get back to their best and Seebohm is fully healthy (remember Seebohm swam 53.9 last year despite also swimming 100/200 back and 200 IM).
However, USA will be a very strong contender for Gold, as i have doubt the Netherlands can defend their title. The Ductch is pretty thin at the top and if one or two girls are not performing, they are in big trouble, while USA has incredible depth.