2019 FINA WORLD AQUATICS CHAMPIONSHIPS
- All sports: Friday, July 12 – Sunday, July 28, 2019
- Pool swimming: Sunday, July 21 – Sunday, July 28, 2019
- The Nambu University Municipal Aquatics Center, Gwangju, Korea
- Meet site
- FinaTV Live Stream
- Live results
After betting odds were released a few days ago for four head-to-head matchups at the upcoming FINA World Championships, there are now full odds available for the men’s 100 freestyle.
On Betway Sports, there are a total of 18 swimmers you can bet on to win the event. Check out the odds below:
| Swimmer | American Odds | Decimal Odds | $100 Bet Gets You: | Implied Odds |
| Caeleb Dressel | -150 | 1.66 | $166 | 60.00% |
| Kyle Chalmers | +162 | 2.62 | $262 | 38.17% |
| Vladislav Grinev | +600 | 7.00 | $700 | 14.29% |
| Marcelo Chierighini | +1200 | 13.00 | $1300 | 7.69% |
| Mehdy Metella | +1200 | 13.00 | $1300 | 7.69% |
| Duncan Scott | +1400 | 15.00 | $1500 | 6.67% |
| Vladimir Morozov | +1400 | 15.00 | $1500 | 6.67% |
| Pieter Timmers | +2500 | 26.00 | $2600 | 3.85% |
| Alessandro Miressi | +4000 | 41.00 | $4100 | 2.44% |
| Clement Mignon | +6600 | 67.00 | $6700 | 1.49% |
| Breno Correia | +8000 | 81.00 | $8100 | 1.23% |
| Blake Pieroni | +10000 | 101.00 | $10,100 | 0.99% |
| Oussama Sahnoune | +10000 | 101.00 | $10,100 | 0.99% |
| Katsumi Nakamura | +12500 | 126.00 | $12,600 | 0.79% |
| Park Seonkwan | +12500 | 126.00 | $12,600 | 0.79% |
| He Junyi | +15000 | 151.00 | $15,100 | 0.66% |
| Clyde Lewis | +20000 | 201.00 | $20,100 | 0.50% |
| Nandor Nemeth | +20000 | 201.00 | $20,100 | 0.50% |
The easiest way to understand what the odds mean is to look at the decimal odds. With Caeleb Dressel the favorite at -150, which converts to 1.66 in decimals, you would win $166 ($66 profit) if you bet $100 on him.
Looking at the American odds, the -150 indicates you need to put down $150 in order to win $100.
For one of the sizeable underdogs, such as Alessandro Miressi, his +4000 indicates he’s 40-to-1 to win, and thus you would need to bet $2.50 (100/2.5 = 40) in order to cash in $100.
The implied odds essentially state that based on the line, Dressel should win the race 60.00% of the time.
PICK?
In terms of who the pick would be here, it’s tough to say. In our preview we have Dressel, Chalmers, and then Vladislav Grinev in that order, which reflects the odds. Miressi, who we have fourth, only has the ninth-best odds, but he would need the stars to align perfectly to actually win outright.
The race between Dressel and Chalmers is closer than the odds indicate, so despite the fact I did pick the defending champ to win, a bet on the Olympic gold medalist makes sense. I also give Grinev a chance to win based on what we’ve seen from him this season, maybe around 20% of the time, which is better than where the odds have him (14.29%).
A bet on any of those three is explainable, but if I had to make a selection, I’d go with Chalmers at the current odds. The line has Dressel too big of a favorite to warrant a bet given the variability of the sport (that’s what makes this so fun!).
However, if confidence on Dressel is sky-high, he’s a great parlay piece (multiple bets in one) to throw in with other picks.
Given the limited amount of swimming betting that is out there currently, it’s unlikely that after the prelims (and semis) the odds would fluctuate to reflect what the swimmers have done. Perhaps that will come in the future, but chances are they’ll get shut down before the event starts (or maybe even before Worlds starts). But if they’re still out there after the 400 free relay, which is on the opening night, you’ll have a better sense of who is on form and may be able to take advantage.
We’ll keep an eye on the lines and see if more odds are released over the course of the next week.
Vladimir Morozov bet looks good at this price, shame i can’t bet where i am
If anyone wants to bet on Dean Farris winning, I will be offering 1 Million to 1 odds
Honest question – why are people not predicting dressel at like a 46.6 flat-start for this race, given his prior history of dropping time from in-season times? Because by my math it won’t even be close
Note: if I seem crazy, all I gotta say is that the dude went 17.63 after going 19.5s in dual meets and 18 mid at a semi-taper meet. Also >1s drop in 1free for full taper, easy
Guess we’ll see.. I don’t think the math will shake out like it has in the past per my post above
He’s on a full year-round pro schedule for the first time. All the prior years were after the big work surge post-NCAA meet, trying to build something off which to taper by summer’s end.. All the post-NCAA meet swimmers swam really slowly in June – Early July. Dean barely broke 50 in the 100 free, then drops the 47.0 leg at WUGs. The pros don’t have an NCAA taper, and many do at least a partial taper in early summer (kind of like a conference taper for NCAAs for the stars). Troy said he targeted the 47.9 meet, which corresponded to the timing for 2020 OTs. So to expect the typical drop he’s done in the past is ludicrous. But… Read more »
Well, he does have ludicrous speed.. who knows, might even go plaid on this field.
Timmers is going to pay off my student loans
Grinev looks like an interesting bet. $100 gets you $700.
was thinking the same. If that website took USA bettors I think the money would pour onto Dressel and you would get some even better odds on Grinev. We are talking such a small fraction of time as the difference in their performance that if you got say 8/1 it would just be too good to pass up. If you knew Grinev was juicing then all the better
A Russian juicing? I’m shocked. Shocked. #Icarus
I’m talking only the highest quality fruits and vegetables of course
The problem with Grinev is that he has one swim to his name. I think the floor is pretty low for him at Worlds. Agree that it’s an interesting bet though
Dressel is a bad bet at these odds. Think people are betting too much that he will drop huge time from his 47.9 recently just because he has dropped a lot from this point in season in past but that was when he was improving a lot as it is … my bet is the winner goes slower than dressels winning time in 2017 but hope I’m wrong
I am not posting under two names, Braden.
Lmao
Think we could all bet on Nandor Nemeth and get the others to throw the race?
I’m going with Dressel