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SwimSwam’s Top 100 For 2024: Women’s #30-21

After the record-setting year that was 2023, we’re gearing up for another exciting year over here at SwimSwam, and part of that is releasing our fourth annual Top 100 list—check out last year’s rankings here.

Similar to 2023, we’ve taken a statistically driven approach reliant primarily upon world rankings and World Championship medals. We’ve also taken into account things such as potential, Olympic medal opportunities, injuries, and versatility. Long course is weighted more than short course, though performance potential in both formats is factored in.

We’ve also moved Russian and Belarusian swimmers way down this list because of their likely absence from the Olympics or either World Championship meet. While that doesn’t preclude them from swimming fast at domestic meets (including whatever Russia comes up with to replace the Olympics), those swims just won’t mean quite as much without the international spotlight.

We’ll be breaking down the top 100 into multiple installments, so keep an eye out as they’re released.

These lists are, by nature, subjective. If you disagree, leave your thoughts/ranks in the comments.

Braden Keith, Sophie Kaufman, Anya Pelshaw and Mark Wild contributed to this report.

Women’s Rankings:

#30: Jenna Forrester, Australia – In a nation renowned for its sprinting prowess, Forrester, like Elizabeth Dekkers, is a young star. In 2022, Forrester finished 7th in the 400 IM at Worlds, her only event. Thirteen months later, Forrester exploded onto the scene, swimming three personal bests and finaling in the 200 back (8th), 200 IM (4th), and winning the bronze medal in the 400 IM at the 2023 World Championships in Fukuoka. Her time of 4:32.30 in the 400 IM makes her the 16th fastest performer ever and the third fastest Australian, trailing Kaylee McKeown and national record holder Stephanie Rice. With a summer like last year, Forrester could easily move up that list. We also can’t overlook the fact that the 20-year-old ranked top-30 in the world last year in both the 200 and 400 free.

#29: Evgeniia Chikunova, Russia – Chikunova is the world’s best 200 breaststroker by a wide margin, having obliterated the world record last year in 2:17.55, 1.40 seconds under the previous mark held by Tokyo Olympic champion Tatjana Schoenmaker. Furthermore, Chikunova was the world’s fastest swimmer in the event last year by nearly three seconds, with no one else even under 2:20—Schoenmaker won the world title in 2:20.80. However, as a Russian, Chikunova’s placement in these rankings is tough because she more than likely won’t race at the Olympics. The door is seemingly open for her to do so, but the chances are less likely now that she won’t race in Doha and wasn’t granted neutral status by World Aquatics as of last month (only one Russian swimmer was). So while the 19-year-old might tower over the world rankings again in 2024, without her on the international stage her ranking takes a big hit. On top of her 200 breast world record, she also ranked #3 in the world in 2023 in the 100 breast as one of only three women to break 1:05 (1:04.92).

#28: Gretchen Walsh, USA – It took a little while for Walsh to make her way onto a senior long course team. A standout junior swimmer and short course yards NAG record holder, Walsh made her mark last summer by qualifying to swim in three events at Worlds. She would final in both the 50 and 100 fly, winning a bronze medal in the former. The University of Virginia star also was a key member of the silver medal-winning 400 free relay as well as the title-winning 400 medley relay. Looking toward the Olympics, Walsh is on the right trajectory of making a large impact, but the sprint events are so tightly contested that she could just as easily make the team in zero or three individual events. However, she’s seemingly been able to consistently up her game every NCAA season, and that’s been the case again this year. If she continues to improve in long course, it’s not a stretch to suggest she could dominate the 50 and 100 free at the U.S. Trials and push for individual medals in Paris.

#27: Lani Pallister, Australia – A stand-out age group swimmer who swept the 400, 800, and 1500 free at World Juniors in 2019, Pallister announced herself on the major international stage with a bronze medal in the 1500 free at the 2022 World Championships in 15:48.96, a time that currently ranks her as the 16th fastest performer ever. That LC bronze turned into four gold medals at Short Course Worlds, where she set an Oceanic record in the 1500 as well as anchoring the 800 free relay to a new world record. In 2023, Pallister was unable to replicate the 2022 bronze, finishing 5th (just over two-tenths slower, however, in 15:94.17), but managed to walk away with a gold medal from the 800 free heats as well as a 6th-place finish in the 400 free and a 7th in the 800. At 21, she’s right in the thick of the minor medal race in all three distances, and certainly can continue to drop time and get in on the minor medals, though Katie Ledecky has gold in the 800 and 1500 on lock.

#26: Tes Schouten, Netherlands – Schouten failed to final at the 2022 World Championships in Budapest but emerged a few months later from SC Worlds with two medals and two Dutch National Records. She built upon that success and confidence to post a personal best and win a bronze medal in the 200 breast in Fukuoka. She would keep up the momentum going on to sweep the 200 breast at all 2023 World Cup stops, culminating in a new Dutch Record in Budapest (2:21.52). Schouten not only brings medal potential in the 200, but her personal best in the 100 (1:05.71) would have won silver at the 2023 Worlds. Having turned 23 on New Year’s Eve, Schouten has been on a continuous improvement curve, dropping a time of 2:16.09 en route to 200 breast gold at the European SC Championships in December, winning gold by three seconds and ranking #9 all-time. Heading into the Olympic year, Schouten is certainly in the hunt for a medal in the 200 breast and should contend in the 100 breast if she can chip off half a second or so. Her performance in December also makes her a title contender at the end of the year at Short Course Worlds.

#25: Claire Curzan, USA – Curzan is one of a large crop of American swimmers who were greatly aided by the delay of the 2020 Olympics. After qualifying for the Olympic team in the 100 fly and winning a silver medal on the U.S. women’s medley relay in 2021, Curzan exploded onto the scene in 2022, qualifying for the Worlds team in four separate events (100 free, 100 back, 50/100 fly). Despite the crowded schedule, Curzan won five medals, one individually in the 100 back, and made the final in every other individual event. She carried this momentum into Short Course Worlds, where she won a medal across every backstroke event and helped set a new World Record in the medley relay. Last year was a mixed bag for the 19-year-old, as despite winning the 200 back at NCAAs, Curzan ultimately chose to leave Stanford and failed to qualify for the Worlds team coming off illness. With a new training base in Virginia, she could be poised to make another run at a big schedule on the international stage. She seems to have been revamped at UVA, and still ranked top 10 in the world last year in three events: #4 in 100 back (#3 in U.S.), #4 in 200 back (#3 in U.S.) and #7 in 100 fly (#5 in U.S.).

#24: Emma McKeon, Australia – Fresh off of being named Young Australian of the Year, Emma McKeon is still recovering from a torn muscle under her armpit, an injury that kept her out of the 2023 Queensland Championships in December. A five-time Olympic gold medalist and the defending champion in the 50 and 100 free, McKeon faces stiff competition domestically in Australia that she’ll have to get through before she can even try and defend her titles in Paris. After taking 5th in both sprint free events and 4th in the 100 fly at the 2023 World Championships, warning bells may be sounding for McKeon fans, but she still walked away from Fukuoka with three relay medals, including anchoring the world record-breaking 4000 free relay with a 51.90 split. Individually, the placings may not have been where she wanted them to be, but she was within three-tenths of a medal in all three of those events. Certainly, she’s a near lock to make the Olympic team individually in the 100 fly, but we can’t count out the fact that she stands a chance of defending her Olympic titles in the sprint frees, should she make it through the gauntlet that is Mollie O’Callaghan, Shayna Jack, Meg Harris, a resurgent pair of Campbell sisters as well as young guns Milla Jansen and Olivia Wunsch at the Aussie Trials.

#23: Lydia Jacoby, USA – Jacoby burst onto the world scene by qualifying for the 2021 U.S. Olympic team in the 100 breast at 17, setting a new 17-18 NAG record and becoming the first Olympic swimmer from Alaska. Jacoby wasn’t finished, however, as she parlayed that qualification into an individual Olympic gold title in the 100 breast, upsetting the field and joining the sub-1:05 club in 1:04.95. After missing the Worlds team in 2022, she bounced back and won bronze in Fukuoka (1:05.94), though silver was ripe for the taking as everyone was seemingly a bit slow in the final outside of Ruta Meilutyte. Jacoby, who will turn 20 at the end of February, has proven to be clutch at key times. In addition to qualifying for the Olympic team and winning gold in Tokyo, she also won the 2023 NCAA title in the 100 breast as a freshman. Meilutyte (1:04.62) and American Lilly King (1:04.75) both set a high bar last year (in terms of world ranks), and Jacoby will need to be in the 1:04-mids to have a shot at defending her Olympic crown, but a medal is well within reach if she simply matches the 1:05.16 she produced last year at Nationals.

#22: Maggie MacNeil, Canada – MacNeil needs no introduction. A gold medalist in the 100 fly across the Olympics, LC and SC World Championships, and the Commonwealth and Pan Am Games, the Canadian star is one of the world’s best underwater swimmers, as evidenced by her 50 back and 100 fly SCM world records. MacNeil had a busy 2023, winning the silver medal in the 100 fly at Worlds (56.45) as well as claiming gold in the 50 free, 100 free and 100 fly (56.94) at the Pan Am Games. In addition to the individual accolades, MacNeil has been an integral relay component for Canada, swimming both fly and free on the women’s and mixed relays. Looking to the 2024 season, MacNeil will look to shoulder a lot of the attention of her home nation as the defending Olympic champion will have her work cut out for her to repeat. She’s been known to perform at her best when the pressure is highest, and she’ll need that to be the case once again in Paris with a daunting field in the 100 fly—though after the top four swimmers in the Tokyo Olympic final were between 55.59 and 55.73, China’s Zhang Yufei (55.86) was the only sub-56 last year.

#21: Torri Huske, USA – Huske has been an integral part of American sprinting since her breakout at the 2021 Olympic Trials. Since then, she has gone on to win Olympic silver as well as 10 medals at LC Worlds, four of which were gold. Highlighting that list was the World Championship title in the 100 fly in 2022, where she posted a time of 55.64, a mark that stands as the American record and currently makes Huske the 4th fastest performer ever. Huske’s versatility across the free, fly, and IM makes her a considerable force in the year to come as she looks to rebound from a less-than-stellar 2023, though she did claim bronze in Fukuoka in the 100 fly and ranked #2 in the world (56.18). Similar to former training partner Curzan, a return to her 2022 form will make Huske a multi-event threat this year.

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Kate Douglass' Biggest Fan
9 months ago

Thank you to PK Doesnt Like His Long Name for this list.
So the remaining 20 are MOC, McIntosh, McKeown, Ledecky, Titmus, Sjostrom, Zhang, Douglass, Haughey, Schoenmaker, Meilutyte, A Walsh, Jack, Smith, King, Berkoff, Grimes, Bingjie, Fairweather, Yiting?
Don’t mind if I do.
My predictions (disclaimer this is purely on vibes and what is off the top of my head, I am not doing extra research at the moment):

  1. Summer McIntosh
  2. Kaylee McKeown
  3. Mollie O’Callaghan
  4. Katie Ledecky
  5. Ariarne Titmus
  6. Kate Douglass
  7. Siobhan Haughey (this might be a little too high)
  8. Sarah Sjostrom
  9. Regan Smith (I thought about putting her ahead of SS for a hot second, and honestly think I should have)
  10. Zhang
… Read more »

Rafael
Reply to  Kate Douglass' Biggest Fan
9 months ago

Zhang ahead of Smith… she has a bigger shot at gold.
China is probably the favorite on mixed delay, US on Women
But Zhang also have 2 more shots with both free relays

Andy Hardt
9 months ago

It might be for the best that Chikunova and Kolesnikov are so (ridiculously) low. Based on how much of the rest of the list is based off of expected Olympic performance, their positions had to take a hit.

If they were only moved down a couple of spots, that would be more correct in my own view, but that’s very much a judgement call. What’s better about the big drop is that there’s no need to argue about places.

For instance, if Chikunova ended up say 9th, someone might argue “wow, that’s way too low for her. Either she much have been dropped a lot in the rankings or I strenuously disagree” while someone else would argue “9th is about… Read more »

Noah
Reply to  Andy Hardt
9 months ago

I think they should be ranked ahead of bronze medalist potentials – I think WRs are much more impressive.

Andy Hardt
Reply to  Noah
9 months ago

That’s my point. There’s no sane reason for having them this low except for:

“We’ve also moved Russian and Belarusian swimmers way down this list because of their likely absence from the Olympics or either World Championship meet.”

Either you agree with that or you don’t, but it’s not really about Chikunova’s or Kolesnikov’s actual swimming. Presumably if Chikunova had swum 2:16 (lol) she’d be ranked marginally higher on the list, and if she had swum 2:18, she’d be ranked marginally lower. But her ranking is divorced enough from her actual performances that it precludes a hybrid argument that is simultaneously about both her ability and the rankings criteria. Your argument is about the rankings criteria alone (which is totally… Read more »

etsan
9 months ago

I know the reason why SwimSwam put Chikunova behind Schouten, but it just feels so strange.

NoFastTwitch
Reply to  etsan
9 months ago

It doesn’t just feel strange, it IS strange. It illustrates why the SwimSwam criteria don’t really rank according to ability (or promise, or accomplishment) but rather according to likelihood of winning a medal, even when some of the factors are completely out of the swimmer’s control (e.g., come from a country that is:1) unlikely to score in relays; or 2) not allowed to compete in the Olympics; or 3) where internal competition is so fierce they won’t qualify for the Olympics even though they might final if they went; etc).

Troyy
9 months ago

For anyone interested the official entries book for Doha has been published:

https://www.omegatiming.com/File/0001180000FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF20.pdf

Andy
Reply to  Troyy
9 months ago

Why does it list Pan’s 100 best as 47.6?

Sub13
Reply to  Andy
9 months ago

Entry time isn’t always the best performance. Might just be what his team entered for him

Jackie O
Reply to  Sub13
9 months ago

Sandbagging?

Robbos
9 months ago

Interesting about Mckeon, she is the current Olympic champion for both 50 & 100 free, is she on the decline or did she take a softer approach last 2 years.
Age? Well she is same age as Sjoestroem who is favourite for 50 free, shouldn’t matter in sprints as much.

So, is she on the decline & Aussies have such depth that she is in trouble or has she just taken a little pressure of herself by having a slightly off year. Interesting that in the SC World Championship in late 2022 she was the premier sprint freestyler with some fairly fast times.

Interesting on how SS treats Dressel who had similar Olympics to Mckeon, but his his times… Read more »

Jackie O
Reply to  Robbos
9 months ago

I’ll put McKeon in 11-20 over Fairweather.

Andy
Reply to  Jackie O
9 months ago

I think a lot of these rankings appear to be personal preference than any objective data

McKeon is almost guaranteed to have an individual spot in the 100fly, and almost guaranteed to have Olympic gold in the free relay (with Madi Wilson out, I can’t see anyway she isn’t top 6 at trials), and a minor medal in the medley relay

Fairweather basically doesn’t have a shot at any medals at all given NZ can’t win relays and she would have to be banking on either Titmus, Ledecky or Summer majorly misfiring. Titmus hasn’t lost a 400m race in 6 years, Ledecky is consistent as always and Summer is probably ready to bounce back from Fukuoka

Berkoff’s best… Read more »

Last edited 9 months ago by Andy
Emily Se-Bom Lee
Reply to  Andy
9 months ago

Fairweather basically doesn’t have a shot at any medals at all given NZ can’t win relays and she would have to be banking on either Titmus, Ledecky or Summer majorly misfiring.

that happened in fukuoka. regardless, ledecky’s 400 has gotten slower every year since tokyo, which is in contrast to the direction her 800 and 1500 are taking. fairweather was 0.86 off ledecky in fukuoka and the 400 is her main event. if ledecky’s current trajectory continues and she is stalled at 3:58 or worse, it’s possible

swimswammer12010
Reply to  Andy
9 months ago

Agreed, those 3 won’t misfire at Olympics and Fairweather won’t beat them

Nick the biased Aussie
Reply to  Robbos
9 months ago

McKeon was training at 75% in 2023 in preparation for going all in for Paris. Think about that.

Robbos
Reply to  Nick the biased Aussie
9 months ago

Yeah I have a sneaking suspicion, we haven’t seen the end of Mckeon as a Olympic contender in the freestyle & Butterfly events.

The unoriginal Tim
Reply to  Robbos
9 months ago

McKeon is relays only at this point. No shame in that but she is overrated on here.

Nick the biased Aussie
9 months ago

To me Torri is the one that looks most dangerous this year in this group. After a rough 2023, compared to 21/22, to see her racing more 200s in free/fly/IM is a good move for her. We know she has the early speed, hopefully this new approach helps with her pacing and finishing races fast.

Everyone underestimating Emma is going to work to her advantage. She doesn’t want or need the spotlight on her, leave that to Mollie, Shayna, Cate and Bronte in the 50/100. Trust me, watch out for Emma.

Last edited 9 months ago by Nick the biased Aussie
flicker
Reply to  Nick the biased Aussie
9 months ago

obviously I love seeing Torri race off event’s and her racing 200’s more often to try and work on the back-half of her 100’s makes sense, whilst her 2IM is good she should absolutely be focused on the 100 fly and tbh I was expecting her 200 fly in Knoxville to be faster than it was + she scratched the 100 fly to focus on the 200 free but did a 100 back/200breast/50 free triple the day after so I’m definitely intrigued by what happens at her next meet, obviously her 100 fly at US Open was good so I’m not concerned but it is interesting to me at least

Jackie O
Reply to  Nick the biased Aussie
9 months ago

You might be right.

Most people didn’t think about Emma until 2021 Australian Olympics trials.

Troyy
Reply to  Jackie O
9 months ago

I don’t agree. She was on fire the whole season leading in and it was widely discussed.

Nick the biased Aussie
9 months ago

I don’t see W2 dominating in LCM, sure she’ll be up there at US trials but her swim speed just isn’t there like her underwater speed is.

Last edited 9 months ago by Nick the biased Aussie
Jackie O
Reply to  Nick the biased Aussie
9 months ago

W1: Alex Walsh

W2: Gretchen Walsh

owen
Reply to  Nick the biased Aussie
9 months ago

but the LCM trajectory is promising so🤷‍♂️

Nick the biased Aussie
Reply to  owen
9 months ago

It’s not though. You just think it is.

owen
Reply to  Nick the biased Aussie
9 months ago

she dropped in all her main events last year?

Jackie O
Reply to  owen
9 months ago

I would not call dropping 53.7 to 53.1 in four years is a promising LCM trajectory.

Nick the biased Aussie
9 months ago

The 4000 relay is my new favourite event

612
Reply to  Nick the biased Aussie
9 months ago

Erik Vendt would have competed in this individually

Mark69
Reply to  Nick the biased Aussie
9 months ago

With a 51.90 split too. That is some swimming.

About James Sutherland

James Sutherland

James swam five years at Laurentian University in Sudbury, Ontario, specializing in the 200 free, back and IM. He finished up his collegiate swimming career in 2018, graduating with a bachelor's degree in economics. In 2019 he completed his graduate degree in sports journalism. Prior to going to Laurentian, James swam …

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