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Will 200 Freestylers Finally Produce Sub-1:45 Swims On A Regular Basis?

In 2009, Paul Biedermann set the men’s 200 freestyle world record during the World Aquatics Championships in Rome. At the height of the super suits, he set a monstrous mark of 1:42.00, which is still the world record in the event as of today, 13 years later.

It was not until 2022 that we saw another swimmer crack the 1:43 barrier, as David Popovici clocked 1:42.97 at the European Aquatics Championships, curiously also in Rome, in the same pool Biederman set the world record back in 2009.

Obviously, Biederman’s global standard is an outlier, as are some other world records set in 2009 — the men’s 800 freestyle and women’s 200 butterfly, for example.

But not only did the men’s 200 freestyle world record remain unthreatened for many years, up until three years ago, but it was also rare to see a swimmer crack the 1:45 barrier.

The first man who swam in the 1:44 territory was Ian Thorpe in 2001. In 2002, his rival Pieter van den Hoogenband also produced a sub-1:45 swim. In 2007, Michael Phelps broke Thorpe’s world record and became the first man sub-1:44. In 2008, Park Tae Hwan became the first Asian swimmer to crack 1:45, placing second to Phelps at the Beijing Olympics.

Until 2009, no more than two swimmers per year managed to produce sub-1:45 swims. In 2009, five swimmers did it. Sure, they were using super suits, but the swimmers kept cracking the 1:45 in the following years: in 2011, after the suits were banned, there were six swimmers in 1:44 territory. In 2012, Yannick Agnel won Olympic gold in 1:43.14, the fastest performance ever in a textile suit at the time. It seemed that 1:44 was going to become a regular occurrence and that 1:43s would be the new top-end norm.

But that was not the case. Between 2014 and 2018, there was only one swimmer who managed to produce sub-1:45 swims: Sun Yang, the Olympic champion in the event in 2016.

In 2019, there were four swimmers in 1:44 territory, none in 2020 (because of the COVID-19 pandemic and the lack of international meets), and eight in 2021, the highest in history.

In 2022, three swimmers have cracked the 1:45 barrier, including Popovici. He has registered four sub-1:45 swims this year, the highest in history in a textile suit – Biedermann set six sub-1:45 swims in 2009.

Popovici has been very fast and consistent, and he is getting closer to the world record, although it might take some time for him to set a new global standard. After all, he is still almost a full second back of Biedermann’s vaunted 2009 record.

Popovici broke the men’s 100 freestyle world record this year after a number of swimmers had gotten very close in the last few years, such as Caeleb Dressel, Kyle Chalmers, Kliment Kolesnikov and Cameron McEvoy. Unfortunately, we have not been seeing the same competition in the 200 freestyle.

The number of swimmers under 1:45 has been increasing, but only Popovici has been able to crack 1:44 — and also 1:43. It would be nice to see other swimmers offering Popovici fierce competition. That would improve the odds of seeing this record finally go down.

Sub-1:45 Performers Per Year Since 2001

Year Sub-1:45

performers

Sub-1:45

swims

World leading

time

World Leading

performer

2001 1 3 1:44.06 Ian Thorpe (AUS)
2002 2 3 1:44.71 Ian Thorpe (AUS)
2003 0 0 1:45.14 Ian Thorpe (AUS)
2004 1 1 1:44.71 Ian Thorpe (AUS)
2005 0 0 1:45.20 Michael Phelps (USA)
2006 0 0 1:45.50 Michael Phelps (USA)
2007 1 2 1:43.86 Michael Phelps (USA)
2008 2 4 1:42.96 Michael Phelps (USA)
2009 5 12 1:42.00 Paul Biedermann (GER)
2010 1 1 1:44.80 Tae-Hwan Park (KOR)
2011 6 6 1:44.44 Ryan Lochte (USA)
2012 3 4 1:43.14 Yannick Agnel (FRA)
2013 3 4 1:44.20 Yannick Agnel (FRA)
2014 0 0 1:45.08 Thomas Fraser-Holmes (AUS)
2015 0 0 1:45.14 James Guy (GBR)
2016 1 3 1:44.63 Sun Yang (CHN)
2017 1 2 1:44.39 Sun Yang (CHN)
2018 0 0 1:45.12 Danas Rapsys (LTU)
2019 4 4 1:44.38 Danas Rapsys (LTU)
2020 0 0 1:45.55 Sun Yang (CHN)
2021 8 12 1:44.22 Tom Dean (GBR)
2022 3 6 1:42.97 David Popovici (ROU)

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There's no doubt that he's tightening up
1 year ago

2011 with 6 swimmers and 6 1:44s, 5 of which came in the same heat, gets more legendary as the years pass.

boi
1 year ago

i think the reason is because like in brette hawke’s interview with thorpe is because noone in 2014-2018 was attacking the front half of the race hard enough and still had the back half to hold on. Take 2021 olympics, hwang was the fastest out in history, followed by many more swimmers out under 51. but in the 145 era, many swimmers were out in a 50.9-51.6 range so it was like thorpe said, basically impossible for them to have a back half enabling them to break 145

NornIron Swim
Reply to  boi
1 year ago

Phelps was out in 51.00 when he went his 1:43.86 @ ’07 Worlds. So not impossible. Dislike disagreeing with Thorpe, and yes Phelps is the GOAT, but just going out faster isn’t correct.

NornIron Swim
Reply to  NornIron Swim
1 year ago

Lochte was out in 51.2 when he won World in ’11 and was 1:44.44.
Thorpe himself was out in 51.43 in ’01 for his WR 1:44.06. He disproves his own argument.

Joel
Reply to  NornIron Swim
1 year ago

He admitted he didn’t do what he says. He knew he could come back extra fast, cause he’s Thorpe.

Laps
Reply to  NornIron Swim
1 year ago

Lochte and Phelps had the endurance from being the premier 400 IM swimmers. Thorpe remains the greatest 400 m swimmer of all time. They could go out in a 51 because they knew they had the backend speed to still be a 1.44.

Thorpe’s point was that 100m/200m swimmers who thought they could go out in a 51 and still go a 1.44 were swimming it wrong because they didn’t have the back end that 200m/400m swimmers have.

Hard to argue he was wrong when we saw the event stagnate for so long.

Seth
1 year ago

I’m surprised no one has taken Biedermans record despite the fact that Biederman used one of the now banned suits.

NornIron Swim
Reply to  Seth
1 year ago

Really? Have you any idea how crazily fast 1:42.00 is?! Not 1:42.99 mind.
You’re talking the best part of a 3-4% improvement for an elite swimmer who goes around 1:45.

DMacNCheez
Reply to  Seth
1 year ago

Going out under 51 is considered quick. To break 1:42 you have to do that twice in one race

There's no doubt that he's tightening up
Reply to  DMacNCheez
1 year ago

Somehow you’ve just made 1:42.00 seem even more nuts than I had previously thought

About Braden Keith

Braden Keith

Braden Keith is the Editor-in-Chief and a co-founder/co-owner of SwimSwam.com. He first got his feet wet by building The Swimmers' Circle beginning in January 2010, and now comes to SwimSwam to use that experience and help build a new leader in the sport of swimming. Aside from his life on the InterWet, …

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